Originally Posted by
Pedro4President
I think we can all agree we won't see displacements like last the last bid.
However, I think we might be a bit shocked to see how many pilots of varying seniority will get displaced especially if "sport" bidding takes place.
I wonder how many pilots are bidding Reserve to delay upgrading. How many RTP guys took more delays in getting through training and building time due to training. Some pilots transferred to DFW sooner than other and LGA FOs could have been building time faster holding a better line than a reserve pilot in DFW.
If I was a betting man I'd bet your explanation will be right. I just wouldn't bet too much on it because it so difficult to predict how people bid.
The other "wild card" (since you brought up betting) is the summer flight file from AAG. The fact that the company is silent on it, and hiring people into a pool, does not look good.
The company says they have too many FOs, but as the displacements start CA training, the numbers will work out. The 2 questions I have are: what about the increased summer flying, and how does the company justify metering flow at 25 if they aren't hiring? It "feels" like the company isn't getting the amount of summer flying they were expecting.
I would normally say "let's see what ALPA has to say about it", but they have been as silent as the company.