Originally Posted by
word302
Um....math? 117,000 pilots over the next 17 years is 6882 pilots EVERY YEAR for 17 years straight. That’s the entire regional force replaced every 2 years. Scratching your head yet?
I just went into the airline profiles on APC and grabbed the pilot numbers for all the US majors, Legacy, Regionals and the larger Cargo operators.
Total number of pilots just from those groups is 91,572. And, that is leaving out fractionals, charters and many other aviation providers. So the Boeing projections of 6,877 per year is likely an accurate forecast. I would tend to believe that Boeing put a lot of detailed research and computing to arrive at their numbers, rather than just shooting from the hip.