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Old 05-05-2018 | 05:56 AM
  #3968  
WhiteMorpheus
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Originally Posted by Av viii
Just some quick math.. 2000 pilots now. If you got hired today you’d need pilot 4000 to get hired to see the left seat. They’re saying 60 month hire but with washouts, retirements, occasional hiring slowing it’s probably closer to 25 or less net. 2000/25=80 months or 6.6 years would be a number to plan around.
Unless they break ground on this training center and can really ramp up there just doesn’t seem like much more room in the training department.
Quick math often equals bad math. What is the attrition rate and are there no mandatory retirements in those 6 years? None of the top half are still in the right seat or management pilots?

Your overall estimate does sound reasonable, though.
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