For business reasons, I doubt it actually would expire on some date certain. Most likely it's an option, and after the option date Amerucan would be able to pull them back at a rate of perhaps a two or three a month. Nobody right now has a couple hundred E175 drivers sitting around unemployed and nobody wants a half billion or so worth of aircraft sitting out in the desert or even on a ramp being nonproductive.

Assuming AA actually does want to bring in all the flying to WOs, I'd expect it would take at least 6 months to accomplish. And no, I don't think those 200 E175 drivers would be furloughed either. Not when it's taking signing and retention bonuses, most regionals are hiring street captains, and some are forcing their FOs to upgrade.

Whatever happens with the contracts, the current environment for pilots is the best in decades, maybe the best ever. Doom & gloom really does NOT appear warranted.