The reason you have the most money in a particular set of companies on a market cap weighted fund is because they GREW to that spot. And so did your money along with it. AAPL wasn’t always at the top.... If you choose another method then you’re looking for a small cap index, perhaps where the next Apple and Amazon will grow into their size, but there are likely to be wild fluctuations and greater risk associated. The S&P 500 or total stock index are hands down the best option we have available to us to “set it and forget it”. You can always zoom in on a particular point in time on a chart and say “HA, look at the lack of growth here” then I can zoom in on 2008-present day and say “HA, look at all this growth in the S&P” AND THEN we can zoom all the way out and see that, in general, the market has gone up over its life. So for us younger guys with decades ahead of us, it’s our safest bet. Runner up are target retirement funds, but they bring more managers into it and thus higher fees.
You cite Mr Winkler, so I’ll cite Mr Buffett;
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“Let me give you a figure that’ll blow your mind I think. I bought my first stock when I was 11 years old. It was the first quarter of 1942, shortly after Pearl Harbor,” Buffett recalls. “I spent $114.75, [for] shares [of a stock.] $114.75. If I put that $114 into the S&P 500 at that time and reinvested the dividends, think of a figure as to what it…would be worth today,” he asked me?
So, what do think?
$10,000?
$75,000?
I’ll give you some help. That’s way low.
Let’s pick it up with Buffett again: “The answer is about $400,000. So if I as a little kid had taken that 114 bucks I’d saved— shoveling snow (LAUGH) or whatever I’d done, [I’d have] $400,000 today. [In] one person’s lifetime. That’s America. I mean, that isn’t me. You know, it’s the huge tailwind the American economy gives to any equity investor.”
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warre...230140222.html
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