Originally Posted by
Milksheikh
..then..
You gotta be trollin. 15/month is still 180 just from envoy. psa is going to 10/month sometime this year.. thats 300/year right there plus another 70ish from piedmont.. lets call it 350 for flows per year. sounds slightly more accurate than "135" a year.
Just know in a class of 40 from AA only about 2-3 will be pure ots civilians for quite a while.
Let’s follow through with your numbers. Last year, in 2017 there were 225 OTS Mil. So added together, 350+225=575.
Plan for this year is 900 hires (will go up in a few years as retirements hit their peak.) 900-575=325 OTS Civ. With 25 classes for the year (No new class starts Christmastime), that would be 13 OTS Civ. In each class.
This assumes constant OTS Mil. More importantly, currently 29 per month is the flow from Envoy, not 15 per month. That is 29-15= 14 more per month. That is 7 more per class (roughly, with 2 classes most months). That means about 13-7=6 per class is OTS, not 2-3 per class.
What you both miss is market forces pushing AA and Envoy renegociating the flow number of 15 upward. (See my point above.) Further, the hire rate will go up from 900 in just a few years.
Bottom line, two points. Flow will not be 15 per month, due to market forces. OTS Civ. will still grow to more than 2-3 per class, but will not be a huge percentage of hires. That is what my crystal ball says. It has good accuracy.