Originally Posted by
Baddog
I’m thinking, everyone will be surprised at how fast they wind down surejet.
Aca, Eagle, comair, asa and now, surejet will go the way of the dodo only because of operating costs, (very senior pilot group with decent contract and benefits).
History cannot be ignored especially with regards to regional feed and Oscar isn’t going to change that m.o. any time soon.
Surejet won’t last long with oil @ $100.
Eagle is still around, though now Envoy. ACA and Comair were a different time- ACA after 9/11, Comair the tail end of the "great recession" when you could look under any overpass near an airport and find 12 out of work pilots. It took Endeavor over a year to absorb the RJ flying- the challenge is finding qualified captains. Not sure who would absorb 100+ worth of 145 flying right now when regionals are struggling to find pilots. I've never seen airlines so desperate for fresh meat to fill seats. Most are paying for RW pilots to get the FW time necessary for a R-ATP. While we are still top heavy, even the costs are coming in line.
You can't ignore history, but don't drive by looking in the rearview mirror. But you are right that $100 oil may throw a wrench in things.