Counter would be if AWA had plans to do any of the above you would move money back - not front load it. So you would not offer any bonus, a small year one raise and have larger ones in 2-3 knowing the pilots wouldn’t see it. Instead they are ( assuming it passed ) paying 400 pilots 8K in a 15 month span. And a tiny raise year 3.
If they knew they wouldn’t be around in a year they could offer a TA with 5% raises in year 2 and another 5% in year 3, but only 1-2 in year one.
Instead if they front loaded the money over the next 16 months. Doesn’t add up to a move you make if you are shutting the doors.
That said who knows what the master plan is and isn’t.