Originally Posted by
KnockKnock
The Fall pull down is SOP. Happens every Fall at every airline. I wouldn't read too deep into that. Certainly not so deep to fear furloughs.
September 1st (estimated after displaced JFK crews go to SFO/LAX)
SFO Captains/First Officers: 269/248
Bid Blocks: 147
LAX Captains/First Officers: 180/177
Bid Blocks: 137
I seriously hope this is not what is considered SOP!
If you estimate 22 build up lines in each base that leaves you with 100 Reserve Captains in SFO and about 80 Reserve First Officers. What is that....about a 38% reserve coverage for Captains and a little less than that for First Officers?!

LAX is a little better but not much. 23%?
What has the reserve percentage been in the past year? 12-13%?
Not on drugs! How long will this last without downgrades and furloughs?
Isn't there a timeframe established in the TPA that outlines a timeframe that disallows furloughs?
Yeah, Yeah, Yeah, this may be due to some airframes going in for paint and a Fall pull down but......DAMN!!!