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Old 06-03-2018, 12:25 PM
  #37  
Sliceback
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Joined APC: Dec 2007
Position: Window seat
Posts: 5,245
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PHL 190 LC is basically the same seniority as LGA 320 LC or LGA 737 line holder. 116/160 guys. Junior guy has 44 guys between him and holding LC.... but 34 guys, 21% of the bid status, all in the top 60%, will leave in June-August. So the guy who was 60% today will be 40% in September.

They’re leaving because their withholding clock has expired. Will that continue in the next bid run? 10-17 guys per month?

If the exodus continues that means the junior guy today will hold LC in September and a line in October. Maybe two months SC, a month LC, then holding a line. By next summer they’d be approx 50%, or better, in their 190 FO seat and getting G2 pay with a withhold from their next bid status.

No guarantees but it’s a game plan I’d pursue, especially if bidding horsepower was important and you can’t get to the base or your choice in the next 12-18 months or if you will be a commuter regardless (ie OKC to XYZ).
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