Ask the Piedmont guys how many are on their seniority list, and what their monthly or annual flow is. Their seniority list is much smaller than PSA's is, so even if they aren't flowing as many, you could well end up at AA faster there.

For reference, PSA has about 1,800 on the seniority list, and is only flowing 10/month...or about 110/year, given AA doesn't usually have a class around the holidays. That's 16 years to flow, barring outside attrition.

I realize there is outside attrition, but no one can know how much it will be, and there will be outside attrition at Piedmont as well...likely in the same proportion to what PSA will experience.

There are pilots at Piedmont hired nearly two years after I was hired at PSA, who will flow to AA before I do, simply due to the size of the pilot groups. It's all relative, and being on the bottom of a seniority list of 800 pilots is preferable to being on the bottom of a seniority list of 1,800 pilots, ceteris paribus.