Originally Posted by
Sliceback
Source - apc airline profile data. Took half of 2018 and half of 2028 to estimate the 10 yr forecast.
AA - 59% (57% using AA data vs apc data)
DL - 44%
UPS - 43% (has 2013 data so it might be outdated)
UA - 42%
FDX - 40%
SW - 27%
Thanks for the numbers Slice. Any idea of the hiring numbers each has had in the last 5 years? For example I believe FDX has hired 30% of their “list” the last few years. So 40% may retire but that won’t be the same relative movement if they just started hiring a year ago.
It’d be interesting to see a comparison of % retirements to % hired in last 5 years.
I would guess a new hire today would have greater relative seniority after 10 years at AA vs DL or FDX due to the amount of hiring they have done last couple years, not solely because of the amount of retirements alone. Any thoughts or numbers to that logic? Am I looking at incorrectly at all?