Originally Posted by
NoValueAviator
I don't think the "metering" happening presently matters that much in terms of how it affects longterm flow certainty. The metering that will matter is when the retirement wave hits in full force and even people who are too pale and too male right now start getting street hired at major airlines. Envoy will not flow itself to death.
They will need to up the pay and benefits too try and keep the older crowed at Envoy then, otherwise you are correct.
There are only a few possible outcomes to all of this. Regional get absorbed into mainline and the seniority lists merge, regionals have to get their pay closer to what you can expect to make as a 3-4 year FO at mainline plus the benefits, scope clause will need to change, retirement age increased and minimums for an ATP lowered or lastly, legislation to remove one pilot from the scenario. Those are all possible ways to get around the problem.
It may be all, some or none but at the end of the day, mainline doesn't want to sink their regionals but they cant not fly their mainline routes either.
We simply dont have enough people below us anymore, something is going to have to change.