Originally Posted by
hrmham
Despite the obvious hiring going on at the present, more senior pilots constantly speak in terms of *when* the next downturn will arrive (not *if*) and how that could flush a lot of the newer pilots' careers/progression, etc. While newbies chase the magic 1500 hours hoping to hook-on to a regional and begin the climb, should they also be *actively* be setting up for a back-up career to hedge against the specter of downturns and furloughs? If so, are they're any obvious, proven go-to non-aviation-related careers?
There is zero question that the aviation employment market will tank. No question whatsoever. Aviation hiring rolls in cycles, and despite the rosy predictions that this demand will hang on for another 20 years, anyone that believes it is either an idiot or too new in the industry to understand the cycles.
Given our political situation, look for it sooner, than later.
Anyone that puts all their eggs in one basket had better hope the basket doesn't leak, and had better be ready to cook. They'll be breaking before long. You can count on that.