Originally Posted by
TransWorld
Every regional (and LCC, major, etc) is well aware the shortage is coming. Being aware of a problem and being able to respond adequately and fast enough are two whole different things. They are starting to struggle as the treadmill goes faster and faster.
Further, there are a lot of offers going out for people the regionals would not have otherwise made offers to. They had been making offers just to the super prepared, cream of the crop. No more. Consequently, extra work, extra sims, higher washout rates makes it even more difficult for the schoolhouses.
In time they will make adjustments, but as hiring by the majors increases the next few years and that rate is sustained, trying to hire qualified pilots will be harder and harder.
It will get to a point, my crystal ball says, where regionals will consolidate, a good portion of the 50 seaters will get parked in favor of fewer larger planes running some routes, and some previous ‘regional’ flying will be brought in to the majors (likely flying the A220s, etc.)
Yeah, I was being sarcastic, hence the ... I agree with what you are saying if I had to give my best guess of the possibilities.