The statement in regards to replacing half the list was stated in March. So lets take that as the starting point. If you look at data on early retirements (A lot go at 63ish union data), medical outs and the biggest factor growth this is definetely truthful. Look at the firm orders alone and assume all the MD-10-10 get parked and you come up with about half of the seniority list of the company in 7 years. The most recent fleet updates for the past 2 years have stated MD-11 and AB 300’s will be around for quit some time bc of the younger age of the airframes. Its not a smoke in mirrors number when looking at all those factors. Can this change if the economy tanks? Of course. I think the statment of recruitment is assuming the size of the seniority list in 7 years and all the factors above and then coming up with half the list.