Originally Posted by
chrisreedrules
I’ve become convinced that there is no labor shortage. There was a temporary labor “squeeze” felt most in 2016/2017. But with the RTP pilots and the pilots coming through the other programs set up a couple years back I see no real end in sight to their pilot supply. Our only hope for any leverage now is for attrition to start outpacing their ability to hire and train.
That was the initial "squeeze," but I don't think we've seen the real deal yet. If I can get a job at a major right when I hit 2500hrs that changes the landscape even more. I think this is realistic over the next 2 years, pilots getting their 1000hrs of 121 and moving up and out instead of upgrading and sticking around for another 4 years.
Yes, we'll have a supply of new pilots, but we'll see a lack of quality LCAs and likely some serious safety issue which result (hopefully with no loss of life). If something serious does happen that could force AAG's hand on the whole "B scale" staple thing.