I think so. Also, many won’t come off the “official” list until their LOA runs out. A better tracker will be who is around to be awarded a line. Awards in October will be telling.
I think the first Kalitta bloodbath was the day management finally woke up. Up to that point I think they assumed about 500 pilots would come over from the CRJ side, enough to make up for attrition on the ERJ side. Now it appears the number will be less than 200 with nothing in place to really attract new hires.
The next few months will be interesting.