TransWorld

In the next couple of years, the Envoy hire date for flow will advance several years, bringing it about in line with PSA (and approaching PDT). There were not that many pilots hired in 2007-2011 window relative to annual flow numbers.


Also, need to be aware the industry will go through a radial change in the next few years. Projected hiring by the majors, in a few years, will result in an average time at the regionals, as a whole, of 5ish years. So, a flow projection of 6-8 years will become essentially meaningless.

(This assumes the regionals will still have 20,000 pilots in a few years. If things collapse and the majors take over a bunch of the ‘regional’ flying and regional pilot head count drops, all bets are off.)