Originally Posted by
Thunder1
That is correct. For the last 7-ish years the upgrade time has been running right at 10 years +/- a few months.
That time will come down to about 7-8 years over the next 1-3 years but to think that a new hire today or anytime in 2019 will see a 5 year upgrade is highly unlikely and not being honest to the new hire.
Pretty much spot on except that I am slightly more optimistic that the 2013/early 2014 hires will sneak in right at 6 years. I’m basing that off of the upgrade numbers I’ve heard for next year, LAX opening and the high bypass rate. I think mid 2015 hires and later will be looking at a solid 8 years in the right seat.