Nobody can be sure about anything. If you had told me 24 months ago that pilots with less than a year on property could hold ATL I never would’ve believed it. I admit that I tend to be a little more glass half empty but we are talking about big numbers when you get to be a pilot group of this size.

That means an upgrade either requires big growth or big retirements. I don’t see either on the horizon. And we don’t have the training float that the other airlines need to carry to inflate the numbers (due to single fleet type)

Let’s be honest with the folks that come here looking for info and not blow smoke. We are a young pilot group and just don’t have the big retirement numbers that the other airlines do.

The late 2013 hires are still 1000 numbers from the most junior Captain, and that doesn’t account for the fact that almost 1000 pilots have bypassed.


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