I had a theory that when open time for FO dried up, upgrade would go more senior. However, that did not occur, proving that senior FO is a really good gig.



The open time situation should improve for FOs next summer as upgrades catch up, and junior captain will likely be even less attractive if it means getting forced in an ETOPS bid group and being seat locked into non-commutable trips for 6 months.



So going forward I predict the percentage of bypassers to increase.