CS,
Everything you read in this thread is pure speculation, so take it with a grain of salt.

A few facts and opinions that will hopefully help you make this decision:

The FDA FO seats did not get filled, but.....

1. FDX is very fat in every seat.
2. FDX does not want another 40-50 newhires to man FDA's, especially in lieu of the Age 60 debacle.
3. Age 60 is a huge problem here. We are so fat in SO seats right now due to the retreads waiting to hear what happens. This hurts everybody, especially those waiting in the pool.
4. After peak, FDX is planning to move some airplanes in early MX (meaning park airplanes).
5. Domestic growth is very flat. Mgrs are waiting to see what kind of numbers peak brings. Early projections are saying that we are going to have a record peak, but throw in a weather event or two, and that could change drastically.
6. The training letter shows the last HKG FO to start training on 24mar08 with a projected finish of 01jun08. The company is planning on a cleanup bid (possible addition of md11/10 domicile in HKG) in Jan or Feb to see if the FO seats get filled.
7. This is a different company now as compared to 5-10 years ago. The company is running circles around the union and doing what they want to save money.
8. The STV provision of the LOA is looming large now, because they can use that as a stop gap measure between the June activation of the last FO and the 1st transfer date of a Subic FO on 1dec08. IMO, STV's are going to be used to seed the system and transition from Subic to HKG, both from a personnel and flying perspective.

So take this for what it's worth, but in my estimation, I wouldn't plan on poolies getting called anytime soon. There are currently too many unknowns right now. Sorry for the buzzkill.