Originally Posted by
viper548
About 15 years
My estimate is 16 yrs using today's fleet count. But additional G4 deliveries (22 in the next four years) will drive the date closer.
The crazy thing is I came up with 16 yrs for a 2014 and a late 2018 new hire. There's a gap of about 3,300(?) numbers but only there's only 875 G4 CA jobs. But the take rate isn't 100% which is why the junior G4 CA (non SLI slot or CP/CKA) is about 2500 on the 787/330 and 3000 on the 777. Add in 7-8 CA's per G4 aircraft and the 875 jobs becomes 1,025-1,050. Does that drop junior G CA closer to 3000-3500 in 2022/2023??