Originally Posted by
a300fr8dog
So, let me see if I understand your point. You projected the fleet schedule forward, then just multiplied the current manning per seat to come up with there numbers?
OK, nice work and thanks for sharing --- however --- I think you shouldn't apply the current 727 SO to 727 acft ratio to future 727 fleet sizes because the company is waaaaaay overmanned in the back of the Boeing and will work to whittle this down (...IMHO of course)
On the other hand, that is the one seat they can't fully control because age 60 guys can automatically go to the back without company recourse.
Generally speaking, I agree with your analysis and that's why the poolies looking at the FDAs need to make sure they will be happy/content living there for quite some time (i.e 3-5 yrs +)
As one of my favorite business school/forecasting professors once said --- "All models are wrong, but some are useful"
Thanks again.