Part of it taking 4 years is that you need 2000 PIC or 3000 hours total with the company. That takes a couple of years at least to get that time.
First round, 30 took the Hogan. 5 didn’t pass. Out of 25 interviewed, 9 passed. 4 of the 9 didn’t pass the TWO year attendance lookback. 5 eventually went to United. Those odds sound good to you?