Originally Posted by
go skers
...There are 74 pilots still on the list hired in 2015 so that group would take another 4 months. If AA hiring continues, 2020 is the year you see the flow times really fall.
There's no attrition accounted for in those numbers or any pause in AA's new hire classes...
That agrees with my crystal ball. I have predicted for several years the majors will be hiring 1 in 5 regional pilots every year, starting in 2021 or so.
Flows of 5 years will not be a drawing card when the average regional pilot gets hired by the majors in 5 years. (A guaranteed hire will still have some attraction, but to a lesser degree.)
The world of regionals will change at that point; radically, and for the better for pilots.