Originally Posted by
LoFly
Come on according to what has been said and showed and rumored on recurrent and such, I should be captain by now. Of an Allegiant A330.
Too many "supposedly" around, I'll take the investors call as an official-ish statement from company: which is 10 to 12 new planes next year. That's it.
Do the math: considering how many pilots we have on property now and the optimistic 8ish pilot/frame goal... it means AT THE END of 2019 we'll be somewhere around target staffing levels. So the number of new hires in 2019 pretty much depends on attrition and retirements only. 10-15 guys total? Wow.
Don't mean to sound like an a$$, I'm trying to use the most reliable information to come up with an educated guess of what 2019 will be like. And so far all I know is that I have to start getting comfortable here at the bottom cause I ain't moving up anytime soon.
OK, hiring slowed and "we" didn't get a one year upgrade. Hell, we may not get a four-year upgrade. IDK.
However, attrition the last four months has been 16 (5, 3, 4, 4) and 11 in the last three months. Kind of shoots down the 10-15 in 2019. My guess is that attrition will pick up in the next few months (after the holidays and disgruntled pilots leaving, looking at you CB).
That doesn't mean we will get closer to upgrade, but attrition will be higher than what the company is expecting, at least I believe it will.