I agree with Pedro above me. There is a lot going on behind the scenes here. We have new planes coming, taking back lines from express jet(assumption of course but it stands to reason at least some will come back) and hiring is still strong.

The best thing is that we have some pretty senior captains on the 145 that will be flowing. Attrition is a thing and that will help.

Envoy doesn’t want three year upgrades but you need to be realistic as well. Most other companies are looking at 2.5+ years as well not to mention a vast amount of captains here sat right seat for nearly a decade.

My money is on faster movement but if you are 30 years old, you are looking at a 35 year career ahead of you, 3 years isn’t anything.