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Old 01-16-2019, 08:34 AM
  #15  
PontiusPilot
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Joined APC: May 2017
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Originally Posted by watch View Post
1) at my interview, Gabe said “if XJT gets a total of 126 145s and 25 175s, management sees no reason why everyone currently here won’t see upgrade to captain within 24 months.”
2) this is contingent on fielding all 25 175s AND 44 more 145s this year. That’s 69 more airplanes in a year.
3) Pontius says that the airline is limited by manning. When they can man the planes, they will field them. This makes sense.
4) either this is a last-gasp gambit or the company sees/knows about a “big move” from United.
5) to field 171 airplanes (25x175s,126x145s, 20x 200s) with optimal 7 crews per airplane, they will need 2394 pilots flying on the seniority list.
6) accounting for 20 per month attrition for CPP, that means they need about 1440 new hires by the end of next year to field those airplanes.
7) that’s 31 graduated new hires per class, at 2 classes per month, every month for the next 2 years basically.

This is completely unrealistic given the current pay, bonus, etc. Either this is all BS, or something “big” is going to happen to make this more than hot air.

What is the whispered big move? What’s the river card XJT is hoping to see that will make XJT classes overfilled?
It’s more like 5 crews per airplane. (10 pilots.) There are currently about 1250 on property after subtracting those on employment leave. As of yesterday, the company posted on our employee homepage an intention to hire at least 500 pilots in 2019.
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