Originally Posted by JonnyKnoxville

The Atlas Air profile page as been updated showcasing the quick upgrades that have been awarded in the past. Like a good used car salesman, the pilot recruiters are saying anything they can to get people in the door.

747 CA 02/2015
767 CA 02/2016
777 CA 05/2015
737 CA 04/2016

But just like in the investment world, past performance is no guarantee of future results. In the case of upgrade opportunities at Atlas Air, I would say just the opposite is true.

1,000 pilots have been hired in the past four years.

That is right, we have just gone through a growth spurt. With a fleet of 113 aircraft at the holding company, they would roughly have to get 113 more aircraft to upgrade the new hire today (assuming no attrition). Now, it is no secret that the flood gates are open as pilots are fleeing like rats off a sinking ship. With no growth and mass attrition of 200+ a year, you stand a chance on upgrading at some point. But keep in mind, the senior Captains are not the ones leaving for other airlines like the junior pilots (mainly First Officers).

Place your bets on upgrade times going forward for a new hire starting today.

My bet 10 years.