Originally Posted by
Swakid8
But we have only taking plane a month at this rate so far. They are coming aboard at a steady rate, plus right now, flying is low with only 120 planes active with the remainder being spares and maintenance until about April when the Active number increase for summer flying. Then with the accelerated transfer of the 700, flying will increase. It’s just going to take patience.
I think the PHL Base will see it’s share of growth towards the summer through the end of the year when the new 900s come aboard too.
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True. I could be off, but I’m a numbers guy. Flying does increase in the summertime, but it decreases again in the fall and winter so we’re back to where we started.
By my math we’re averaging 3.3 lines per airplane. Even if we had all 150 airplanes right now that puts us just shy of 500 total lines for each seat. So instead of a new hire having to move up 450 spots like they do currently.... they would only have to move up 400 spots (500 lines for 900 FOs) which will only decrease time on reserve by about 2 months. 3 months tops. I think attrition will also start to pick up in the summer or fall so that’s where I’m getting my 16-22 months depending on base.
These numbers factor in having all airplanes and an uptick in attrition. And actually we’re almost to 1900 pilots. So using 900 FOs is slightly generous in reference to this scenario.