I’m early 2014 and still 1000+ from the most junior Captain. What that number doesn’t reflect though is over 860+ first officers who are bypassing - meaning they’re senior enough to hold captain but have chosen not to. (Most likely waiting for a domicile or to be off reserve) So the ‘real’ number is about 1800 numbers away.
Here’s the retirement numbers that reflect how long it will take to work through those 1800 pilots.




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