Originally Posted by
BigZ
Yeah, about that....
dera, the folks are lining up for the beers!
Remember how a while back I cautioned you about using logic and numbers to predict future? We've all been there.
Beers were on me yesterday at Yesterday's
It does seem random, but maybe there is some method to their madness.
Look at the flowplan. Almost 1:1 ratio of DFL displacements to DFL new hires. I think they hired 6 more than they upgraded. With more planes coming, this makes sense.
OFE is harder to figure out "by hand", because of the large amounts of base transfers. But a quick count shows roughly the same number of OFE displacements and BT's as new hires.
So if someone REALLY wants to be Sherlock Holmes. Look up the hours of the top FOs per fleet - and you can figure out their upgrade rate. Add about 2 months of training, and that might give you an idea which fleets need most new hires from the next classes.
(no, I don't think anyone should do that - but I bet the company does have the stats similar to that).