Originally Posted by
gzsg
200 plus widebody captains.
650 retirements in 2019
An average of 5 waterfall initial training events per retiree equals 3,250 initial training events.
And from here the number just just Year after year after year.
Let the games begin.
How many displacements are we anticipating with 88 reduction and LAX717 closure? 650 sounds high for retirements in 19. I know we have 423 age 65 retirements, so more will leave. But some of those leaving are already on STD and LTD and therefore their departure won't generate any waterfall, right?
Don't get me wrong, movement is upon us. But growth on the bottom has slowed to a crawl. And with 2 year freezes, spread out AEs and the big one being a 365-dayer, I bet we don't see the waterfall numbers we used to.