Figured that’s about where you were at. I can totally see that point. Look - as an AW pilot I have thought hard about what this means and I have concluded that I don’t know if this is terrible news, no news at all, or great news.

If it’s the death of the all Econ 50 seater ERJ/CRJ, so be it. United - say they love it and want more of these. Scope would allow 300. So in this market no one company could take them all. So new contracts come up. AW has a slight leg up over ERJ companies being the common type rating. Maybe.

Or United kinda loves it but can’t justify 300 of them. Why? There are some markets that have too short a stage length or 0 premium demand. So maybe they want a mix. So some 50 seat regionals are still needed and others bid this “new” jet. The all Econ 50 seater goes back to its Turboprop roots and routes. More ORD to CWA/GRR/CID less ORD to HPN/SAV/CHS.

Or it’s a total and complete failure. And that is very possible too.

So there are many senerios off of each of these senerios above I can’t say what this means, yet.

AW has 2.5 to 4.5 years left on current contract. United still wants to grow 6% the next year or two, is still scoped out on 70/76 seaters, still has NO 100-130 seater on order and most of their 50 seater airlines can’t even staff the current demand (CA, half way to 60/EXJ not over 100 erjs, not at 20 CRJs yet and 0 out of 25 175s, plus AW not flying all 65 200s yet)

So short term and maybe even medium term, I’m not worried. UA will take any 50 seater that can be staffed right now.

So I’m still TBD on what I think about this. Could be the best or worse thing for us, or nothing at all.