Originally Posted by
Excargodog
Setting aside the fact that two a month IS 24 a year, a not altogether tiny number for a group that routinely has an attrition of 240 a year, I would remind you that our current pilot group is - what 675 or so?
With current attrition, that is a COMPLETE TURNOVER of personnel every 675/240 years, basically two years and ten months. That's two years and ten months from now our junior FO, assuming he or she hasn't already gone somewhere else, can flow to F9.
That doesn't strike me as either particularly distant or tiny.
And I remind everyone that retirements at the legacies are increasing for the next 4-5 years.
Pilot group is closer to 740
240 a year attrition is very optimistic, and a portion of that is junior-mid level FO’s.
And as far as that flow window, yes it is tiny. You get 1 shot when your number is called or you defer it an entire year. So either you take it when they email you or you push it yet another year down the road. Not an option either, with dl contacts up July 2020.
Again, I’m not saying this is awful, I’m just saying we are better off without it, and it’s a major blow to anyone that was looking to go from here to F9. They provide pay and benefits that are not that far off mainline, and I think it’s not a good thing to have a contract that says “you cant hire me”