Originally Posted by
stabapch
The military is begging for pilots now. Military pilots are now the minority at majors and as retirements keep increasing they are becoming more scarce. The number of pilots they’re currently putting out will definitely decrease, especially when you’re forced to stay in longer because they can’t recruit.
I Wasn’t saying they were a majority, I said they were 1500 pilots a year (plus RTP) that I believed he was ignoring in his calculations.
Nor am I talking about the pilots the military is “begging for” right now. I’m not sure you understand the system. With the possible exception of Guard and Reservists, everyone has a 10 year active duty service commitment for UPT. Those numbers are already baked in, decided by the numbers actually trained over the last decade, and will (with certain limitations through stop-loss) become free agents over the next ten years as their individual ADSCs expire. Those people will all be able to vote with their feet.
I will grant you that, having given away the airspace and infrastructure needed for increasing training, the military won’t be able to ADD to what they are turning out much, but most of those won’t be free agents for ten years anyway.