Originally Posted by Nevjets

Obviously, we are not going to agree. I’ll just end by saying that the person who said that statistics are backwards looking is correct. Like I said, stats are the best and easiest way to measure safety. But statistics are not what makes your flight safe. Your decisions are what makes your flight safe. The stats are the product of that. In other words, flying isn’t safe because there wasn’t any accidents in the last 40 million hours. It’s the other way around, flying is safe therefore there have been 40 million hours of no accidents.

The way you guys are looking at safety is what has come to be known as outcome based safety. It’s an outdated way at looking at safety. The contemporary way at looking at safety is that safety is the mitigation and managing of risks. Stats are just the easiest way to measure the product of safety. But it’s not the best way. This is the whole purpose of LOSAs. That is the granular way of measuring safety in a way that better quantifies pilots’ decisions, adherence to procedures/policies, human factors, knowledge, skills, etc. I’ll tell you, I really am surprised that not all airline pilots have been trained to look at safety this way.