Originally Posted by
Cujo665
It currently is a pay shortage. In a few years it becomes a physical shortage. Basic math.
Either way, the end result is a shortage of pilots.
The only thing that can prevent the shortage in the next few years is a black swan 9/11 style event. Then the airlines could retire to shrink without needing new pilots to replace the old ones.
I think the 91/135 sector will be worst off.
Lots of corporate flight depts will close, because they just can't pay the money ATP rated pilots will want, when legacies start hiring at 100%.