Originally Posted by
TimetoClimb
Spot on. I'd also add that the military recruits are filling the gap and keeping our classes full. Apparently army,navy and air force are all in damage control mode over rampant attrition and many of those aviators are coming here for recency and to check the 121 box. CRJ FOs are getting base of choice within 3 months so it's a no brainer why someone would come here over the alternatives. All we hear is republic and skywest and endeavor classes are full but howabout everywhere else. Without industry wide data it's impossible to gauge whether or not their is a supply issue; as it certainly seems there is none at skywest.
I think the military flow will slow and reach a stable steady state soon.
Right now there is a pool of mil pilots who previously passed on airline opportunities, and are now signing up. When that pool is exhausted (soon), the military only takes in X number of new pilots per year. Those pilots will get out only at specific career gates, and most will go to airlines at the point or not at all. That flow and the gates will remain steady state unless the military makes a big structural change (could happen, for any of several reasons).