Originally Posted by
chairbornefobit
I'm one of them and I agree with that assessment. The Army is already increasing its pilot active duty service obligation for flight school to be closer to the Air Force's. The RTP is a new phenomenon and it exploded due to a lot of guys thinking they had no options but to stay for the retirement realizing they can actually use their skills outside without spending thousands out of pocket. Most of these guys have families so the cost was the prohibitive factor. Now, most of them have now made the jump, or are in the process, so it will be slowing down. I'm one of the back enders. I still have another assignment to go before I can leave, and nearly all of the guys that haven't already jumped are staying until retirement in my unit.
Mil RW might be the last big pool of untapped mil pilots. But that too will reach steady state equilibrium eventually. The airlines probably still have some fine tuning to do on the RTP pathway.