Way to much thought is being put into this. You can reasonably except anywhere from 3-9 months of reserve here at Envoy. Could you luck out and get off quick with the right timing, base and aircraft? Sure you could. Is it likely, not really.
The bottom line is reserve time/qol is one of many things that need some serious improvement around here. Like it or not, Envoy is not the gold standard, or hell not even bronze standard anymore.
Much like AA, we have been pushed lower and lower in virtually all categories that matter.