Originally Posted by
Pedro4President
The crux of the 5-6 year flow rate is ATTRITION!!!! The average attrition maybe 19 per month but that doesn't impact your flow date at a 1:1 ratio. The more senior you are the less attrition impacts your flow. Your calculations doesn't seem to factor in this HUGE impact on flow.
Very much this.
We'll see how the attrition works when the list is updated next January, but for 2018 out of 200ish pilots of non-flow attrition something like 140ish were within the first 2-2.5 yrs of DOH
I remember using 10 a month as an average outside attrition for flow time calculations, and the 2018 data did not support that.