You asked for an answer to a question that you knew could not be truly answered until the end of negotiations. So yeah, I was being a little flippant.
I think it reasonable to assume that someone on the seniority list after the amenable date will get whatever retro pay they are due just like the last contract.
Pretty sure you will know if retro is part of the deal before you vote on a contract past the amendable date.
You're probably correct in your number of YES voters if a deal is reached before the end of this year..........I'm not holding my breath on that idea....
There is no secret. Retro is a negotiated item and it will not be decided until the end of the negotiation process. Just gonna have to use your best judgment.
Denny