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Old 06-06-2019 | 06:47 AM
  #197584  
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Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF
I’m sure the only thing that changes the calculus is when a certain number of delayed/cancelled flights due to no reserves, plus cost of DH’ing folks, plus the thousands of hotel rooms each month in BOS becomes more costly than just opening a pilot base.
Yep. There's way more flying in BOS than it would take to justify a domicile...but for what plane(s)? As long as marketing dominates Flt Ops with absolute authority and has the mandate to move everything in a nanosecond to make one penny more, and along with that as long as we have this many (including some very redundant) fleet types, it will be hard to justify the massive AE/MD/new category-freeze waived churn, etc.

Maybe when we get the 5 gates back that will move the calculus a bit in that direction. Also the rumors of the other 7ish gates becoming a reality would probably lock it in for sure, and likely for multipile fleets at that point, but we'll have to stay tuned for that variable.

The biggest fulcrum is the company's overall strategy going forward there. It appears to be very bullish (and long overdue). It can take a long time to flip that switch, but it appears to have been switched and snapped off in the ON position.

Much like SEA/west coast/AK code share abuse where the consensus for many years was that they can do 14 737's a day LA-SEA full of half our pax, but we can't make a penny doing one flight because they own the entire west coast and only they have the uique west coast acumen to solve that impossible equation...until one day we decide to not only dip a toe in but to go in big.

While the two markets aren't absolutely identical in every respect, we're finally planting our flag in BOS it appears for the ultra long term. We may or may not become #1 there, but at the very least we will go from a distant, barely even relevant, anemic #3 to the runaway dominant #2 position, nipping at the heels of JB with the ability to at any time pry out any route crown jewels we want to. That's a very smart stratedgy to counter not only super saver capacity to FL, but a burgeoning attempt to flat out destroy margins over the Atlantic.

BOS is now both a defensive and a very offensive player for DL and will likely lead to a base for some equipment in the coming year(s).