Originally Posted by
highfarfast
The vast majority of that non-flow attrition you're mentioning is very junior. First year and some second year, and insignificant after that. The attrition that is junior to you doesn't matter.
even at 250-300 a year it's 1375-1650 flowing in 5.5 years.
Many are still leaving to Delta, United, Fedex/UPS when over 2nd year; yes most of the 300 are junior, but you're still getting 50-100 yearly from higher up. That's another 275-550 over the same 5.5 years.
totals 1650-2200 over the 5.5 years.
their math works.
I had this same argument when they first said 5.5/2.5 over 5 years ago. Said the same thing then, the math works. I has worked fairly closely to their projection. On upgrades it worked even better with instant upgrades. That's fact. I was told I was wrong back then too by guys like you.