Originally Posted by
SoFloFlyer
I just look at the numbers. In the next decade, there’s something like 30,000 pilots retiring at the majors, but there’s only about regional 20,000 pilots. Some of which won’t jump ship. And those are just for retirement, not accounting growth.
Disclaimer: I don’t have the exact figures in front of me so those are rounded numbers. Don’t kill me lol
There are a ton of retirements on the horizon, but the number of replacements isn’t a static list. There is a kid out there with a brand new drivers license who could be a competitive applicant at the legacies in 10 years. The business plan could alter demand for pilots as well. Increased passenger loads could lead to reduced frequency on larger planes, affecting the demand for crews. I don’t think that the sky is falling by any means, but there has never been a better time to be starting out than right now. Of course, compared to what we just came out of, everything looks good.