Originally Posted by
UnprotectdPilot
To your point --
Everyone looks at the retirement numbers at the majors and says "Wow, there are over 30k retirements over the next decade with just over 20k regional pilots, everyone will have a job."
But.
How many U/LCCs pilots have their apps in? How many corporate or former airline pilots are joining the regionals now to prime their resumes with current 121 time for the legacies? How many Air Force, Navy, and Marine jet pilots are leaving each year to take those jobs?
There certainly is opportunity - it isn't stagnant by any means. However, it's just as competitive as ever.
I think most everyone with a clean record and well-rounded app will be able to move beyond a regional if that's their goal, but you may have to settle along the way.
Granted, there are pilots willing to move on that’s not at the LCCs, but those numbers don’t include growth. 1%, 2%, or even 3% growth will require about 40K-55K in hiring (retirement + growth). Food for thought