Originally Posted by
Rotor2prop
I think that there are a few older people (mid 50s and up) in almost every class that are career changers and/or want to say I was a airline pilot before the door closes permanently. Up until about five years ago there were very few pilots in their 20s coming online but now lots of all age groups are jumping onboard since they can pay their bills on regional pay just to test the waters.
I would venture a guess that less than 50% of people making it through 121 initial will still be flying 121 in 5 years due to various reasons (age, medical, being fired, or just hating the 121 game). It feels like I run into a few pilots everyday that flew a few years at the regionals then got out for various reasons. It will be interesting to see the changes that will happen in the airline industry by 2030.
The unprecedented opportunities at the legacies will keep them coming for a while longer. But after the retirement wave, there may not be as many kids willing to pay dues for 20 years to have a great gig later in life.